Investment Calculation

How to choose a strategy and calculate real estate returns

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Often, buying real estate is not just about having a place to live but also a tool for generating income. To evaluate how profitable a deal is, it is important to calculate returns in advance, considering different strategies.

Below, we will analyze three main investment strategies:

We will detail which parameters affect income and show how to account for them in calculations

01

Short-term rental

This strategy suits investors willing to actively manage the property or hire a management company. It works well in tourist areas with high seasonal demand.
Advantages of the strategy:
  • Higher returns compared to long-term rental
  • Ability to use dynamic pricing (raising rates during peak season)
  • Flexibility to use the property for personal purposes
Disadvantages:
  • More operational workload (check-ins, cleaning, marketing)
  • Higher risk of vacancies during off-season
  • Dependence on booking platforms and their fees
Key data for calculation:
  • Average nightly rate — determined by comparable properties in the area
  • Average number of nights per month — usually calculated based on 30 nights
  • Average occupancy rate — number of rented nights per month (e.g., 70% = 21 nights)
  • Taxes and commissions — e.g., booking platform fees
  • Monthly expenses — cleaning, maintenance, service fees
Formulas:
  • Average monthly income = nightly rate × occupancy (number of nights)
  • Annual income = net monthly income × 12
  • Payback period = property price ÷ annual income
  • Net monthly income = monthly income – expenses
  • ROI = (annual income ÷ property price) × 100%
Example calculation:
  • Property price — 1 200 000 AED
  • Average nightly rate — 500 AED
  • Average occupancy — 70%, 21 nights
  • Monthly income = 500 × 21 = 10 500 AED
  • Expenses 1 500 AED (commissions, cleaning)
  • Net monthly income = 10 500 – 1 500 = 9 000 AED
  • Annual income = 9 000 × 12 = 108 000 AED
  • ROI = (108 000 ÷ 1 200 000) × 100% = 9%
  • Payback period = 1 200 000 ÷ 108 000 ≈ 11 years
02

Long-term rental

Long-term rental is suitable for investors who prefer stability and minimal involvement in property management. It is ideal for residential areas with consistent demand.
Advantages of the strategy:
  • More stable and predictable income
  • Less operational work compared to short-term rental
  • No need for constant tenant search
Disadvantages:
  • Lower returns compared to short-term rental
  • Dependence on long-term market rental rates
  • Possible vacancies between tenants
Key data for calculation:
  • Average monthly rent — market rate in the selected location
  • Taxes/commission per month — agent commission on rental, VAT (if applicable), averaged monthly
  • Monthly expenses — service charges, maintenance, minor repairs
Formulas:
  • Net monthly income = rent – taxes/commission – expenses
  • Annual income = net monthly income × 12
  • ROI = (annual income ÷ property price) × 100%
  • Payback period (years) = property price ÷ annual income
Example calculation:
  • Property price — 1 200 000 AED
  • Rent — 8 000 AED/month
  • Expenses — 1 000 AED/month
  • Net monthly income = 8 000 – 1 000 = 7 000 AED
  • Annual income = 7 000 × 12 = 84 000 AED
  • ROI = (84 000 ÷ 1 200 000) × 100% = 7%
  • Payback period = 1 200 000 ÷ 84 000 ≈ 14 years
03

Resale

Suitable for investors who are willing to wait and are focused on capital appreciation rather than regular cash flow.
This strategy can be combined with a rental approach to maximize returns
Advantages of the strategy:
  • Potential for high profits if entering at an early stage of construction or right after project completion
  • No need to manage rental operations
Disadvantages:
  • Returns depend on market conditions
  • Capital is locked until the moment of sale
  • Risks of market price declines
Key data for calculation:
  • Price appreciation during construction — as a % of purchase price, often higher until handover
  • Time until completion — number of years or months until the property is handed over
  • Annual growth after completion — projected increase in resale price on the secondary market
  • Holding period until resale — how many years the property will remain in ownership
Example calculation:
  • Purchase price — 1 000 000 AED, handover in 2026
  • Growth during construction — 10% (until handover), 1,200,000 AED at the time of keys
  • Annual growth after handover — 5%
  • Holding period until sale — 6 years after completion
Property value, AED Profit from sale, AED
2026 1,100,000 AED (+10% to the initial price) 100,000 AED
2027 1,155,000 AED 155,000 AED
2028 1,212,750 AED 212,750 AED
2029 1,273,388 AED 273,388 AED
2030 1,337,057 AED 337,057 AED
2031 1,403,910 AED 403,910 AED

Common mistakes made by brokers and buyers when calculating investment returns

1.
Ignoring operating expenses — only rental income or price appreciation is taken into account, but service fees, taxes, platform commissions, cleaning and maintenance costs are not included. This leads to an overestimation of returns
2.
Overestimating occupancy rates in short-term rental calculations — assuming 100% occupancy without taking into account seasonality, downtime, and booking cancellations, which results in actual income being lower than forecast
3.
Ignoring downtime in long-term rentals — it is assumed that the property is always rented out, although there may be gaps between tenants, which reduce annual income
4.
Incorrect assessment of market rates — calculations are based on inflated expectations of rental prices or future resale values, without analyzing current data on the area and segment
5.
Errors in calculating ROI and payback — not all expenses are taken into account or the basis for the percentage is incorrectly determined, which distorts the final profitability
6.
Fees and taxes are not taken into account when reselling — we discuss this topic in more detail on the “Calculating the cost of a property” page
For an accurate investment calculation, dozens of parameters must be taken into account, from the price per night and seasonal occupancy to commissions, taxes, and annual cost increases. It`s easy to get confused and miss details that affect your bottom line.
UPPEROFFER has already taken care of everything:
  • Choose your strategy — short-term rental, long-term rental, resale, or all of the above
  • Enter your data
  • Get a ready-made calculation of ROI, payback period, and net income — taking into account all expenses and market characteristics
  • Send the calculation to the client in PDF, PNG, or web link format — beautifully structured and in a consistent style
  • Track when the client has opened the calculation and return to the dialogue in a timely manner
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